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market analysis

Gold single negative correction hits another new high, Europe and the United States are expected to make another effort

Wonderful introduction:

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Group]: Gold single negative has set a new high after correction, Europe and the United States are expected to make another effort." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

Macro

The recent global economic situation is xmserving.complex and affected by a variety of factors. U.S. import prices fell by 0.1% month-on-month in March, alleviating inflationary pressure. At the same time, Treasury yields fell, but the shadow of sharp fluctuations in the early stage of the bond market is still there, and investors are paying attention to the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and retail sales data. In Europe, Germany's investor confidence index hit the biggest drop since the Russian-Ukrainian conflict in April, highlighting market concerns amid trade tensions. The European Central Bank expected a 25 basis point rate cut on Thursday to stimulate the economy. Japanese Minister of Economic Regeneration visited the United States to negotiate the cancellation of additional US tariffs because US tariff policies have had a negative impact on the Japanese economy. Currently, market liquidity may decline before the Good Friday holiday and is more sensitive to policy changes. The details of Trump's tariff policy are unclear and may affect global trade and financial markets. Traders must also be wary of the chain reaction of basis trading closing positions. The global economy is full of uncertainty under the interweaving of factors such as trade and monetary policy. Investors need to pay close attention to data and policy changes and invest cautiously.

Dollar Index

In terms of the performance of the US dollar index, the US dollar index showed an upward trend on Tuesday. The price of the US dollar index rose to 100.254 on the day, and fell to 99.447 at the lowest, and finally closed at 100.134. Looking back at the market performance on Tuesday, prices fluctuated mainly during the early trading session, and then the US market soared upward, and overall it still did not break the range. From the weekly level, the price suppresses resistance in the 105 area, so from a medium-term perspective, the trend of the US dollar index will be more bearish. At the daily level, the price is suppressed at the resistance level of the 102.20 area, so the short position is based on the band's thinking. Watch it for four hours in the short termThe 99.80 area is the middle position of the short-term oscillation range of the US Index. Pay attention to the resistance of the 100.60 area above and the support of the 99 area below. The subsequent range will be treated as oscillation before the breaking range, and follow after the breaking position. At the same time, the 99.80 position is a part of the watershed within the oscillation range.

The US index focused on the 99-100.60 range oscillation. 99.80 is the watershed between the strength and weakness of the range

Gold

In terms of gold, the gold price overall showed an upward trend on Tuesday. The price rose to the highest point on the day, and the lowest point fell to the 3209.86 position, and closed at 3229.23 position. In response to the price continued to rise during the early trading session on Tuesday, the European session was adjusted, but it was still above the four-hour support. At the same time, the US market fluctuated and rose, and finally the big positive ended. From the weekly level, gold prices are supported by the support level in the 2960 area. So from a mid-term perspective, we can continue to maintain a bullish view. From the daily level, the current price is supported by the 3127 region and continues to look bullish from the perspective of the band. Gold closed positive again after a single negative correction as scheduled. For the short-term four-hour price is supported at the 3229 position, the price is still relatively high in the short term. At the same time, today's Wednesday morning session surged and hit a record high. Then, you can continue to look at the rise based on the early trading lows. Pay attention to the 3270-3300 area above.

Gold has a long range of 3239-3240, with a defense of 10 US dollars, and a target of 3270-3300

European and the United States

European and the United States, prices in Europe and the United States were generally down on Tuesday. The price fell to 1.1263 on the day and rose to 1.1378 on the highest, closing at 1.1280 on the market. Looking back at the performance of European and American markets on Tuesday, the opening price in the morning was under pressure and fell in the short term. Then, after testing the US high point on the day before the European session, the US market continued to be weak, and the daily line ended with a big negative. From the perspective of monthly line level, Europe and the United States are supported at 1.0770, so long-term bulls are treated. From the weekly level, the price is supported by the 1.0730 area, and continue to look bullish from the perspective of the midline. From the daily level, the price is supported by the 1.1040 region, so the band is treated with the same bullish idea. From the short-term four-hour level, the current 1.1330 position is the key resistance position, and there is a further increase in one hour, so we will pay attention to the gains and losses of the four-hour resistance for the time being. Since the overall bulls are generally, the decline is a drawdown, so beware of the price breaking through the four-hour resistance and exerting force again.

Europe and the United States pay attention to the gains and losses of the 1.1330 position, and then break through and follow the break.

[Finance data and events that are focused on today] Wednesday, April 16, 2025

①07:10 Federal Reserve Director Lisa Cook delivered a speech

②09:30 Monthly report on residential price in 70 large and medium-sized cities in China

③10:00 China's total retail sales of consumer goods in March year-on-year

④10:00 China's scale in March The above industrial added value year-on-year

⑤10:00 China's first quarter GDP annual rate

⑥14:00 UK March CPI monthly rate

⑦14:00 UK March retail price index monthly rate

⑧16:00 Eurozone February seasonally adjusted current account

⑨17:00 Eurozone March CPI annual rate final value

⑩17:00 Eurozone March CPI monthly rate initial value

< p>20:00 WTO releases global trade outlook report

20:30 US retail sales monthly rate in March

21:15 US industrial output monthly rate in March

21:45 Bank of Canada announced interest rate resolution

22:00 US April NAHB real estate market index

22:00 US February xmserving.commercial inventory monthly rate

22:30 US to April 11 E IA crude oil inventories

22:30 EIA Cushing crude oil inventories in the week from the United States to April 11

22:30 EIA strategic oil reserve inventories in the week from the United States to April 11

22:30 Bank of Canada Governor McClum held a press conference

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Gold single negative correction hits another new high, Europe and the United States are expected to make another effort

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Gold single negative correction hits another new high, Europe and the United States are expected to make another effort

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