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market analysis

OPEC cuts forecast for global oil demand growth

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Official Website]: OPEC lowers its global oil demand growth forecast." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

XM Crude Oil: OPEC lowers its global oil demand growth forecast

Macro: OPEC released its monthly crude oil market report, which mentioned: the global average daily oil demand growth forecast in 2025 from 1.45 million barrels to 1.3 million barrels xmserving.compared with the previous year, and the adjusted annual average daily oil demand is expected to be approximately 105.1 million barrels; the global average daily oil demand growth forecast in 2026 from 1.43 million barrels to 1.28 million barrels xmserving.compared with the previous year. The growth rate of oil demand in 2025 and 2026 was both lowered, and the reason was obvious - Trump's radical policies. As the report says: a series of policies of the United States bring downside risks to the global economy.

However, Russia has relatively optimistic expectations for global oil. At the end of March, Russian officials said global oil demand is expected to increase by 1 million barrels per day to 1.5 million barrels per day this year. He also said: "Consumption rates are growing every year and given the fact that the global economy will grow, demand for energy will grow," he said. However, Trump has not issued radical policies at the time of his speech, so this optimistic expectation may have changed.

In terms of the supply side, OPEC+ member states began to increase production this month. Although the total output may continue to fall below the target level, under the stimulation of low oil prices, member states will most likely choose to increase production as soon as possible to maintain their share. People familiar with the matter said OPEC+'s production increase plan may continue in May, which will continue to curb the momentum of crude oil rising.

From the inventory data, as of April 4, EIA inventory totaled 25.759 million barrels, at a relatively low level in a long-term history. However, the inventory level of about 25 million barrels has already appeared in July 2022.To this day, for about three years, there are still no signs of a large-scale inventory recovery. Be cautious when looking at the future crude oil market based on the bottom of the inventory curve.

Technical aspect:

▲XM chart

The daily crude oil line is in a short trend, and the three moving averages of MA5, MA10 and MA20 show a standard short-term short-term short-term short-term, it is not recommended to have a "ultra-low" mentality.

From the perspective of trend structure, from November last year to the present, the daily crude oil line has always had a central structure. Even the surge in January this year has not caused the price to xmserving.completely break away from the central control range. In early April, crude oil prices fell sharply due to Trump's radical policies, and the medium-term trend entered a short seller with high certainty. However, the market may still return to the central range in the future. This week, pay attention to the daily rebound market. If the highest point appears below the lower center track, the bear trend will continue; otherwise, the central structure will continue to be effective, and the market will fluctuate significantly up and down.

XM risk warning, disclaimer, special statement: The market is risky, so be cautious when investing. The above content only represents the analyst's personal views and does not constitute any operational suggestions. Please do not regard this report as the sole reference. At different times, analysts' views may change and updates will not be notified separately.

The above content is all about "[XM official website]: OPEC lowers the forecast for global oil demand growth". It was carefully xmserving.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Forex. I hope it will be helpful to your transactions! Thanks for the support!

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OPEC cuts forecast for global oil demand growth

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market analysis

OPEC cuts forecast for global oil demand growth

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XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

News

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for a Reason