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market analysis

The US dollar fluctuates at a low level, and Europe and the United States continue to rebound in the short term

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Official Website]: The US dollar fluctuates at a low level, and Europe and the United States continue to rebound in the short term." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

The euro and the dollar regained momentum against the US dollar on Tuesday, and rebounded to 1.0975 after two consecutive days of correction, benefiting from the overall weakening of the US dollar and investors' optimistic expectations for the Fed's future interest rate cut path.

According to market research, the U.S. dollar index has fallen under pressure as expectations of the Federal Reserve's four interest rate cuts this year heat up, providing a respite for the euro. At the same time, U.S. President Trump's tariffs have caused market concerns about the economic slowdown, further weakening its risk appetite for US dollar assets.

From a technical perspective, the euro and the US dollar received significant support near the 200-hour index moving average (EMA) on Monday, successfully stopped the decline and rebounded. Short-term indicators (such as MACD, RSI) remain positive, indicating that short-term bulls dominate.

If the euro can successfully break through the 1.1000 psychological mark and the short-term downward trend line resistance, further upward space will be opened, with the targets pointing to the 1.1050 and the year-high 1.1145 area respectively.

"1.1000 is a dual resistance in emotions and technology. Once it breaks through, https://xmserving.com will attract a large number of momentum traders to enter the market." - ING Forex strategist Christopher Turner xmserving.commented that although the euro has a lot of technical aspects, it still faces some risk factors to limit the upward space. If global risk sentiment improves or trade concerns temporarily ease, the dollar may rebound in a phased manner, thereby suppressing the euro.

In addition, investors will also pay attention to this weekThe minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting to be released (Wednesday) and the U.S. CPI data (Thursday) may determine the short-term trend of the US dollar.

The support below is clear, and holding on to 1.0900 is expected to maintain the upward structure

The current short-term support level is 1.0940. If it falls below, it is highly likely that the downward line of 1.0900 will be an event. This position is not only the support point of the 100-hour EMA, but also an important psychological area for bulls to defend.

If the euro falls below the 1.0900 mark, it will further test the 1.0845 area, and even the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) from 1.0730 to 1.0735. The latter is an important dividing line for medium and long-term trends. If it is effectively broken, the euro will face the risk of a trend reversal.

The above content is all about "[XM official website]: The US dollar fluctuates at a low level, and Europe and the United States continue to rebound in the short term". It was carefully xmserving.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Forex. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

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