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Gold, the risks are intensifying!
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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Group】: Gold, the risks are intensifying!". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Let's look at a few numbers:
1, 185 countries, imported products with a total import of more than US$2.3 trillion, 71% (the proportion of total imports in the United States).
2. The main tax on US surplus countries is more important, such as: China 34%, Europe and the United States 20%, Vietnam 46%...
3. The tariff rate on China has been increased to 65.6%, that is, as of 2024, 11.6%, +10% +10% +34% in 2025
4. The overall US tax rate provides 18.1%.
This is xmserving.completely a tax era, bringing the world into a currency depreciation system, but at the same time, it is also the beginning of debt conversion.
We have been emphasizing the issues of inflation and deflation. We obviously have a lot of money to put on the market, but it is deflation. After a turn around, we return to the bank. The main reason is that the current controversial credit reporting system is that we cannot lend more money and the market expectations are not good, so we dare not consume.
But now, the whole world looks at it, inflation and currency depreciation. If tariffs continue to increase, prices and consumption will still be backfiring.
This is also the biggest driving force for the current rise in gold, safe-haven funds.
Good morning, you in front of the screen, we cannot experience the changes in tariffs in the short term. It may be just a number, but in the capital market, the rise of gold is the choice of safe-haven funds, which is the most intuitive manifestation.
In terms of gold, gold bottomed out again due to the signing of Trump's relative tariffs. Look at the fluctuations in one day are close to US$100. This is a market that only occurred in half a month or even one month, but now it has been realized in a few hours.
This is when the price of US$3,000, the market volatility has increased too much as the base increases.
The price change is a double-edged sword. The amplitude is large, and it feels easier to make money, but it is also easier to lose money.
On the one hand, the grasping nature is degraded, while people's greed becomes higher.
If the daily fluctuation is only 10-20 US dollars, and the risk is small, then you just keep in one direction and the opportunity does not appear continuously. But now, the 5-minute change is only about 10 US dollars. At this time, many people's greed rises, the frequency and direction of operations change, and the market cannot be summarized in one sentence.
When numbers change, no one is not greedy. This is human nature. We are always afraid of missing opportunities and will unconsciously enter the game.
When the fluctuation of the numbers becomes smaller and the waiting time becomes longer, you will naturally shrink your desires, and when the desires are smaller, you will have a greater chance of profit.
Okay, just understand.
For current gold, it is impossible to test the height because it has been pressing short and breaking the high market.
But continue to pay attention to a few points:
1. It is still the first wave of brainless rise between 7-8 in the morning, and this is said every day.
2. Be sure to pay attention to the cycle. In the other trends in the past two days, the European session rose, the US session fell once and then bottomed out and rebounded. So if you can't find the position, look for the loop, and then look at the amplitude of the correction before, and get stuck at the same time point.
The typical morning cycle rose yesterday, and the European session continued to be a cycle rise in the afternoon, while the European session did not break the high. The hourly line yin and yang line circulated, leaving the previous day's oscillation and retracement.
3. The risk of the first wave of rise is small, but it rises in the morning, so don’t rush to fall a lot.
4, the price is long after short squeeze.
5, be cautious, be cautious, don’t be single.
6. Be sure to make a good cycle and look at the trend at the time point one or two days.
Today, it is another 7-8-point cycle, with the price breaking to 3168.
And the more this drawdown, the risk becomes greater. First, you can’t hurry, but the double bottom and 618 positions in the front are 3130-32, which is the point to consider this afternoon.
In addition, if this kind of continuous rise breaks and breaks the high, if it breaks the bottom and pulls back, it is necessary to intervene in short positions twice.
One of the time points that we pay attention to is the US market. The two-day retracement is mainly during the US market period.
According to the current trend, the morning cycle will rise, pay attention to the 618 and small double bottom in the afternoon, the second pullback will not break the high, and the US market will be short.
This big rhythm has no signal, butThere must be hidden risks.
In terms of rhythm, be sure to pay attention to the cycle we emphasize: form and time.
The risk is intensifying, don’t be bearish when you are too bearish, don’t force yourself to chase long, pay attention to the rhythm!
[The above only represents the author's personal views and opinions. Investment is risky, so be cautious when entering the market]
The above content is all about "[XM Group]: Gold, the risk is intensifying!". It was carefully xmserving.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Forex. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
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