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market analysis

Reciprocal tariffs will overwhelm the global economy, dollar plummets

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Forex Market Review]: Peer-to-peer tariffs will overwhelm the global economy, and the US dollar plummeted." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

On April 3, US President Trump announced the benchmark tariff rate at 10% in the White House Rose Garden on Wednesday (April 2), local time, and the details of higher "reciprocal tariffs". After the news of large-scale tariffs came out, the market risk aversion sentiment in the early trading of the Asian market on Thursday, the market's risk aversion heated up sharply, US stock futures plummeted, Nasdaq futures fell by more than 4%, and Dow Jones futures plummeted by more than 1,100 points.

On April 2 local time, the White House issued a statement saying that US President Donald Trump declared a national emergency on the same day to enhance the United States' xmserving.competitive advantage, protect US sovereignty, and strengthen US national and economic security.

The statement said that Trump will impose a 10% "benchmark tariff" on all countries, which will take effect at 0:01 am Eastern Time on April 5. In addition, Trump will impose personalized higher "reciprocal tariffs" on countries with the largest U.S. trade deficit, which will take effect at 0:01 am Eastern Time on April 9, and all other countries will continue to xmserving.comply with the original 10% tariff benchmark. The statement also said that Trump has "modification authority" and can raise or lower tariffs depending on the situation.

The chart shown by Trump shows that the United States imposes a 34% reciprocal tariff on China, a 20% reciprocal tariff on the EU, a 10% reciprocal tariff on Brazil and the UK, a 31% reciprocal tariff on Switzerland, a 26% reciprocal tariff on India, a 25% reciprocal tariff on South Korea, a 24% reciprocal tariff on Japan, a 32% reciprocal tariff on Indonesia, and a 36% reciprocal tariff on Thailand.

Bloomberg said that the move marks a sharp escalation of Trump's trade war and may lead to the United StatesImmediate revenge from trading partners.

Asian market

Japanese service industry lost momentum in March, and the final value of the service industry Purchasing Managers index dropped sharply from 53.7 in February to a neutral level of 50.0. The integrated Purchasing Managers Index fell to 48.9, the lowest level since November 2022, indicating a contraction in overall private sector activity.

S&PGlobal's AnnabelFiddes pointed out that although the service industry's new orders and export business are still in the growth field, the market conditions are significantly weaker.

In addition, the cost of inputs across the private sector has risen at the fastest pace in seven months, and output price inflation remains at an all-time high.

Business sentiment has also deteriorated, with overall optimism about output prospects in the xmserving.coming year falling to its lowest level since January 2021.

The latest data released by Caixin on Thursday showed that China's service industry purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose from 51.4 in February to 51.9 in March. The market expects the reading during the reporting period to be 51.6.

European Market

Isabel Schnabel, a member of the Executive xmserving.committee of the European Central Bank, warned today that the global trade war could lead to a sharp rebound in inflation and severely drag down growth.

In a speech, she stressed that severe disruptions in global trade flows could push inflation higher by several percentage points in the first few years.

She added that even the “moderate decoupling” situation still has meaningful effects – inflation increases by as much as 1%, which will take years to ease.

ECB President Christine Lagarde warned that the global impact of the U.S.-led tariffs will be "negative", although the extent of the damage depends largely on scope, duration and target products.

In an interview with Newstalk Radio in Ireland, she stressed that the wider impact on global trade and growth will vary, but the possibility of lasting destruction is real.

Lagarde also pointed out that history shows that such trade escalation often ends in negotiations rather than protracted battles.

“Many times, those tariffs escalate because they prove to be harmful, even for those who impose tariffs, which leads to a negotiating table,” she said, suggesting that any initial damage could eventually give way to diplomatic solutions and eliminate barriers to trade.

U.S. Market

U.S. ADP private sector employment increased by 155k in March, exceeding the expected 120k. The xmserving.commodity production department added 24k positions and the service industry added 132k positions.

Employers of all sizes contributed to growth, with small xmserving.companies leading the way, adding 52k jobs, followed by large and medium-sized enterprises, adding 59k and 43k respectively.

Wage growth continues to slow despite strong employment data. Year-on-year salary increase for those who remained slowed to 4.6%, while year-on-year growth for those who changed jobs slowed to 6.5%. The premium for job change dropped to 1.9 percentage points, the lowest level since September.

ADP chief economist Nela Richardson xmserving.commented that xmserving.comAlthough "policy uncertainty and pessimistic consumers", the overall employment data is a positive indicator for the economy and businesses of all sizes.

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Review]: Peer-to-peer tariffs will overwhelm the global economy, and the US dollar plummeted". It was carefully xmserving.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your transactions! Thanks for the support!

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market analysis

Reciprocal tariffs will overwhelm the global economy, dollar plummets

Asian market

European Market

U.S. Market

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Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

The Most Awarded Brokerfor a Reason

Easy Access to 1,400+ Global Assets

market analysis

Reciprocal tariffs will overwhelm the global economy, dollar plummets

Asian market

European Market

U.S. Market

Related News

XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

News

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason