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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠
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2016年最佳黄金经纪商
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2016年最佳外汇经纪商
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2015年最佳本地客户服务
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠
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投查查于2024年颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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FinTech Age Awards颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠
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荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠
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荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017
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2016年最佳黄金经纪商
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2016年最佳外汇经纪商
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2015年最佳本地客户服务
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2015最佳金融交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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FX168于2020年12月颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠
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2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠
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投查查于2024年颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠
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2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
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2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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World Finance 2021颁发
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Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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FinTech Age Awards颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠
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荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠
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荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017
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2016年最佳黄金经纪商
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2016年最佳外汇经纪商
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2015年最佳本地客户服务
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Global Brands Magazine 颁赠
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2015最佳金融交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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金融行业的佼佼者
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2014年首届亚军
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COLWMA 2024年颁赠
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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FX168于2020年12月颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2016最佳本土 客户服务
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中东和北非地区（MENA）增长最快的经纪商
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2015年最佳外汇科技提供商
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠
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荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠
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荣获2024年迪拜外汇博览会颁赠
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荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠
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2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠
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投查查于2024年颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠
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2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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FinTech Age Awards颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017
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2016年最佳黄金经纪商
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2015年最佳本地客户服务
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Global Brands Magazine 颁赠
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2015最佳金融交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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金融行业的佼佼者
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认证最优金牌级别
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market analysis
[XM Foreign Exchange Platform]: The US dollar index holds the 104 mark, and the market is waiting for Trump's tariff policy to be implemented
Wonderful Introduction:
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Platform]: The US dollar index holds the 104 mark, and the market is waiting for Trump's tariff policy to be implemented." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
On the Asian session on Wednesday, the US dollar index hovered around 104, and the market generally held a wait-and-see attitude, waiting for the new tariff policy that the Trump administration will soon announce. Trump plans to impose a 20% tariff on almost all imported products, which is expected to have a profound impact on the global trade system. The market is worried that the move may exacerbate the risk of stagflation in the US economy, causing market sentiment to be tense.
Analysis of major currencies
Dollar: As of press time, the US dollar index hovered around 104.25. Trump's tariff policy may push up domestic prices in the short term, exacerbating inflationary pressure, but at the same time may also curb market demand and affect economic growth. The US dollar may be supported by risk aversion sentiment in the short term, but if the risk of stagflation intensifies, the Federal Reserve may be forced to reconsider its monetary policy path.
1. The Indian rupee is expected to react to U.S. tariffs
Although the Indian rupee performed better than other regional currencies last month and recorded its biggest monthly gain in six years, it may face obstacles this week. The White House will announce reciprocal tariffs on April 2. KotakInstitutional Equities said in a report that the rupee benefited from recent dollar weakness and two-way fluctuations allowed by the central bank, but “the main risk of India’s foreign trade remains due to uncertainty in U.S. trade/tariff policies.” "We expect the dollar to exchange rate between 85-89 against the Indian rupee in fiscal 2026. These forecasts will be revisited once tariffs are announced." Traders will also pay close attention to how the Bank of India responds to the foreign exchange market's reaction. A trader at a Mumbai bank said the RBI “could allow (USD to be) to rise sharply as it has fallen a lot in March” in case of negative surprises.
2. Economist: New Zealand may become a yardstick for measuring the impact of the trade war
Satish Ranchhod, senior economist at Westpac Bank, said New Zealand sells large amounts of agricultural products to the world economy and relies heavily on open markets, becauseThis could be the perfect yardstick to measure the speed at which the impact of a global trade war spreads in the world economy. The United States is New Zealand's second largest trading partner and a major market for exports of dairy, beef and wine in New Zealand. But tariff disruptions are not only a trade issue with the United States, but also a potential to cause trade disruptions in some of New Zealand's other major trading partner economies, affecting demand for New Zealand's exports. In addition, if other countries that produce similar products to New Zealand are also subject to U.S. tariffs, exports from those countries may eventually turn to New Zealand's xmserving.competitive markets.
3. PIMCO: Optimistic about the stable return rate of the global bond market
In view of the rising risk of the US recession, Pacific Investment Management Corporation (PIMCO) is optimistic about the stable return rate of the global bond market in its latest outlook. The xmserving.company warned that Trump's aggressive trade, spending cuts and immigration policies will cause the U.S. economy to slow down faster than previously expected, and thus damage the labor market. Investors are advised to turn their portfolios to safer assets. They tend to diversify their allocations in the global bond market, with a focus on increasing interest rate exposure to the UK and Australia. Europe's long-term interest rate exposure is "lower attractive" due to fiscal pressures, and the bond yield curve in the euro zone market is expected to become steeper.
4. Fed Barkin: Tariffs may reduce employment and push up inflation
Richmond Fed Chairman Barkin said that Trump's tariffs may push up inflation and unemployment rates, posing a huge challenge to the Fed. The price shock from tariffs can trigger a "cage showdown" between frustrated consumers and goods and service providers who "really think" must pass on costs. Obviously, part of the impact of tariffs will be transmitted to prices, causing inflation. Barkin also warned that the job market will also feel partial impact. Rising prices may reduce demand and reduce sales. If the xmserving.company does not raise prices, profit margins will drop; if the xmserving.company wants to start improving operational efficiency, this means increasing staff.
5. The decrease in the number of job vacancies in the United States indicates that the labor market is gradually cooling down.
The number of job vacancies in the United States decreased in February, while the number of layoffs remained sluggish, which further proves that the labor market is just gradually cooling down. The decline in job openings is due to the decline in retail trade, financial activities, and accommodation and food services. After a steady decline from the peak in 2022, job openings have basically stabilized near pre-epidemic levels. However, uncertainty surrounding Trump’s policy is putting business investment plans on hold, which also has the potential to curb job markets and overall economic growth. In addition, in the recent confidence survey, consumers are more pessimistic about their employment prospects and financial situation, with xmserving.companies including Walmart and American Airlines Group warning that demand will weaken in the future. To some extent, this means a significant reduction in spending and the hiring plans of businesses may also be hit.
Institutional View
1. Goldman Sachs: The yen is a hedge against the US economic recession and tariffsRisk preferred currency
Goldman Sachs expects the yen to climb to the bottom of the 140 range this year as uneasiness about U.S. economic growth and trade tariffs boost demand for the safest assets. Kamakshya Trivedi, head of global foreign exchange, interest rates and emerging market strategy at Goldman Sachs, said the yen would provide investors with the best currency hedging tool if the likelihood of a U.S. recession increased. Achieving 140 means a 7% increase from the current level, and the bank's forecast is more optimistic than the agency's median survey of analysts' 145. Trivedi said, "When U.S. real interest rates and U.S. stock markets fall at the same time, the yen tends to perform best."
2. Barclays: The Trump administration may use exchange rate manipulation as a reason for tariff policy.
Barclays economists said in a report that although there seems to be no country in Asia manipulating exchange rates last year, this may not prevent the U.S. foreign exchange policy targeting Asia. Barclays’ calculations of changes in foreign exchange reserves suggest that the weak dollar in February led to US dollar buying in Asia, which could continue into March. The longer the dollar is under pressure, the more central banks in Asia tend to intervene when trade pressures intensify to prevent the currency from strengthening. The bank added: "In our opinion, the US government may use exchange rate manipulation to defend various actions, including tariffs."
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