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【XM Market Analysis】--USD/JPY Analysis: The Formation of a New Ascending Channel
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Market Analysis】--USD/JPY Analysis: The Formation of a New Ascending Channel". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Key Points of USDJPY Analysis:
- USD/JPY is supported upward by the 150 level.
- The Bank of Japan is prepared to raise interest rates.
- US tariffs affect market performance.
For three consecutive trading sessions, bulls have succeeded in stabilizing the USD/JPY pair around and above the psychological resistance of 150.00, which has often been noted as a potential starting point for a new upward channel for the pair. The USD/JPY pair's upward rebound gains reached the 150.92 resistance level, the pair's highest level in nearly three weeks, before stabilizing around 150.50 at the start of trading on Thursday.
Japanese Yen Affected by Bank of Japan Signals
According to forex market trading, the Japanese yen declined, giving up its gains as investors braced for the implementation of reciprocal US tariffs, which could impact key Japanese exports. A rebound in riskier assets, including stocks and xmserving.commodities, also dampened demand for the Japanese yen as a safe haven. In Japan, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda told parliament that he would continue raising interest rates if economic forecasts materialize. Ueda emphasized that economic growth has exceeded expectations, as a positive cycle of rising incomes has led to increased consumer spending.
In last week's decision, the Bank of Japan kept its key interest rate steady at 0.5%, with officials maintaining a cautious stance while assessing global economic risks, particularly the potential repercussions of higher US tariffs.
Trading Tips:
The stabilization of USD/JPY above the 150 level stimulates an upward shift.
Japanese government bond yields reach their highest level in more than 16 years.
According to trading via reliable trading xmserving.companies, the 10-year Japanese government bond yield rose to approximately 1.59%, marking its highest level in 16 and a half years, after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda told parliament that he would continue to raise interest rates if economic forecasts materialize. Ueda stressed that economic growth had exceeded expectations, with a positive cycle of rising income leading to increased consumer spending. Additionally, the Bank of Japan governor revealed earlier this week that the Bank of Japan is gradually reducing its holdings of long-term Japanese government bonds, while emphasizing the impossibility of immediate sales.
US Dollar Ignores Weak Consumer Confidence
According to Forex market trading, the US dollar's performance was affected by the announcement of weak consumer confidence, the primary driver of the US consumption-based economy. Without it, production will inevitably decline. According to economists, US households expected President Trump to unleash tax cuts and deregulations, but instead, there is austerity and the potential for significant trade tariffs. This raises concerns about household finances and job opportunities, with fears that this will translate into weak spending.
According to licensed trading platforms, the US dollar reached its highest level since 2022 on January 13, amid continued outperformance by the US economy and its associated assets, particularly the stock market. However, US exceptionalism has dissipated under US President Donald Trump's erratic approach to tariffs and spending cuts. Policy uncertainty has led to a decline in US stock markets, negatively impacting consumer and business confidence, which inevitably weighs on the dollar. There's more to coxmserving.comme, as Trump is set to announce his largest tariff announcement yet on April 2.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis and Expectations Today:
According to daily chart performance, the stabilization of the USD/JPY pair around and above the psychological resistance of 150.00 will stimulate bulls' control and support the formation of an ascending channel. The upward shift will be confirmed by movement towards the resistance levels of 151.20 and 152.00, respectively. Currently, the technical indicators MACD and RSI have turned upward. Conversely, on the same timeframe, the support level of 148.70 remains a threat to the current upward shift. Finally, we still prefer buying the USD/JPY pair from every downward level.
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