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market analysis

Non-farm farms are coming in May, with the Beige Book and the ECB resolution, the market may be shocking this week

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: Non-farm farms are xmserving.coming in May, coupled with the Beige Book and the European Central Bank resolution, the market may be shocking this week." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

XM foreign exchange market prospect: Non-agricultural market is xmserving.coming in May, coupled with the Beige Book and the ECB resolution, the market may be greatly shocked this week

XM foreign exchange market: The importance of economic data to be released this week is from high to low: the US May non-agricultural employment report, the ECB interest rate resolution, and the Federal Reserve Beige Book. Next, we will interpret it one by one.

▲XM chart

This Friday at 20:30, the U.S. Department of Labor Statistics Bureau will release the U.S. non-agricultural employment report for May, among which the non-agricultural employment population data after the seasonal adjustment in May attracted the most attention, with the previous value of 177,000 people, and the expected value of 130,000 people, with a large decline. May is the month when US President Trump's radical policy effect was realized in April. Because market participants are not optimistic about Trump's policies, xmserving.companies' job recruitment reduction due to insufficient confidence will lead to a decline in non-farm employment. The performance of the non-agricultural employed population is closely related to the operation of enterprises, and the performance of the operation of enterprises can be analyzed and judged through the stock market. When the U.S. stock market rises, it means that businesses are operating well, recruiting more, and the non-farm employment population will also increase. In May, the US Dow Jones Index rose 3.94%, a small increase and is in a technical short-term short-term short-term, so the non-farm employment population data in May is likely to be lower than the previous value.

▲XM chart

This Thursday at 20:15, the ECB will publicize the results of the May interest rate resolution, the mainThe current is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and the deposit mechanism interest rate and main refinancing rate will be reduced from 2.25% and 2.4% to 2% and 2.15% respectively. Since the beginning of this year, the ECB has cut interest rates three times in a row, while the Fed has remained silent, which has led to a widening gap in benchmark interest rates between the eurozone and the United States. As the ECB Management xmserving.committee Villeroy said: "Our interest rate is already at 2.25%, while the United States is almost twice ours, reaching 4.25%, and further rate cuts are likely to be made in the xmserving.coming weeks." From the perspective of international capital flows, the ECB cut interest rates again this week, which will widen the interest rate gap between Europe and the United States, resulting in some funds giving up the euro and choosing the US dollar, which is negative for the euro. However, in order to prevent radical U.S. policies from impacting the European economy, the ECB had to continue to lower interest rates to enhance the risk resistance of European fiscal and corporate debt.

▲XM chart

This Thursday at 2:00, the Federal Reserve will announce its fourth Beige Book of the year. The Beige Book is released eight times a year and summarizes analysis reports from 12 Federal Reserve banks, mainly involving the economy, inflation, unemployment rate and other contents. The Beige Book released in April mentioned: Five regions reported economic growth, three regions did not change, and four regions reported economic decline. If the Beige Book released this week, the number of reports of rising economic growth and the number of declines decreases, it means that the US economy has rebounded significantly since April, and the pressure on the Federal Reserve to restart interest rate cuts has decreased, which is more favorable to the US dollar index. On the contrary, if the economic growth region decreases, it means that the US macroeconomic performance is poor, the pressure of the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates increases, which is negative for the US dollar index. Considering that April has been a critical period for the implementation of a series of radical policies by US President Trump, this week's Beige Book is likely to be negative on the US dollar index.

XM risk warning, disclaimer, special statement: The market is risky, so be cautious when investing. The above content only represents the analyst's personal views and does not constitute any operational suggestions. Please do not regard this report as the sole reference. At different times, analysts' views may change and updates will not be notified separately.

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: Non-farm farms are xmserving.coming in May, superimposed on the Beige Book and the ECB resolution, the market may be shocked this week". It is carefully xmserving.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

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market analysis

Non-farm farms are coming in May, with the Beige Book and the ECB resolution, the market may be shocking this week

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Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

The Most Awarded Brokerfor a Reason

Easy Access to 1,400+ Global Assets

market analysis

Non-farm farms are coming in May, with the Beige Book and the ECB resolution, the market may be shocking this week

Related News

XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

News

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason